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20-Oct-2024
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American Election Surveys: Who runs - Harris or Trump?

AUTHOR: M.J. GDNUS

The US elections were due to be a practical rematch match, but it turned upside down when President Joseph Biden ended the campaign and supported Vice President Kamala Harris, the BBC said.

The big question is now - will America get the first president or second mandate of Donald Trump?

Who runs in national surveys?

Haris gained a slight lead over the tramp in national average surveys since she entered the race in late July, and still leads.

Haris experienced a jump figure in the surveys in the first weeks of the campaign, steak at the end of August an advantage of almost four percent.

But the numbers are relatively stable from the beginning of September, even after the only debate between the two candidates held on 10. September, which was almost 70 million people.

And while the national surveys are a useful guide to how popular candidate is across the country, they are not necessarily a precise way to predict election results.

This is because the United States is using the electric college system, in which each federal state receives a number of votes approximately in accordance with the size of its population.

It is free to win 538 elector votes, so the candidate should win 270 to win.

It has a federal 50 states in the United States, but because most of them almost always vote for the same party, there is only a handful of states in which both candidates have the chances of winning.

These are the states in which the elections are obtained and losing, and are known as the countries "Battlefield" or "Coolic" countries.

Who runs in the polls in "Cooly" countries?

At this point, surveys are very tight in seven countries that are considered hesitable in these elections, and no candidate has a decisive leadership in one of them, according to the surveys.

In Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, the leadership passed from his hand several times from the beginning of August, but Trump has now been a little advantage for several weeks.

The story is similar in Nevada, but with a haris, which is at the moment in a slight advantage.

In the three remaining countries - Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin - Harris from the beginning of August, sometimes for two or three percent, but in the last survey days have become significant conspiracy.

All these three states were democratic strongholds before the Tramp turned them into "red" countries on the road to the conquest of the 2016 Presidency. Years.

Biden turned to them in 2020. years and if Harris managed to do the same, then they will find himself on a good path to win elections.

A good indicator at all the measure has changed since Harris became a democratic candidate is that the day Biden left the race stored for a tramp almost five estimates on average in seven hesitant.

In Pennsylvania, Biden cascaded almost 4.5 percent when he came out of the race.

It is a key state for both election campaigns because it has the largest number of electric votes than all seven and therefore its conquest facilitates the necessary reaching 270 votes.

At the moment, surveys indicate that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in several others in all the hesitating states - and when the race is so tight, it is very difficult to predict the winners.

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